Adam wrote:
If he is hitting 25+ homers in Seattle 3 years from now, I would be surprised. It'll be interesting to see how long he keeps his bat speed for. I just read the Keith Law article and he seem pretty worried that that could be any year now
I guess another way of me saying what I did about the 25 HR average is making the over/under 100 HRs over the life of the contract. So if Cruz hits 40 HRs in 2015, I'd be okay if he hits an average of 20 HRs over the remaining three years. Catch my drift?
I do like the move today for the M's with Saunders/Happ. It does sort of confirm the pettiness of the Jack Z regime, as they had a bit of a pissing war, but I think Happ is a better pitcher now than Chris Young is, as a #5 starter. Jon Morosi actually thinks this trade sets up a trade with Seattle and Colorado, moving Taijuan Walker for either CarGo or Blackmon. Kind of makes me nervous as you CarGo has had many health problems and I don't think you can fall in love with offensive stats with ANY Colorado players, although Blackmon is young and was an All-Star.
Morosi also thinks that it's a foregone conclusion that the Dodgers sign either Scherzer, Lester or Shields. They won't want to give up talent to trade for Hamels. Kind of sick to think they just extended Kershaw to an astronomical amount, won the bidding war for the best FA pitcher two offseasons ago (Grienke) and will end up with another ace this year.
But yeah, the M's ain't done. They should have a RF before it's all said and done. Their rotation is a bit of a house of cards in my opinion, because Iwakuma runs out of gas in September and putting a lot of stock in two young guys (Walker and Paxton) who were hurt for significant portions of last season is really risky. Let's just say I'd rather has a James Shields next year in Seattle than Justin Upton.
The Markakis deal to Atlanta doesn't make any sense to me. Is this someone they're looking at as a foundation piece for the opening day of 2017? Yikes.